While discontent at the federal government's lack of support for the cultural sector during the coronavirus epidemic continues to grow, the few people still in jobs are readying for the optimistically termed "recovery period".
Physical access to arts events is becoming a possibility. Now cultural leaders must discern, through a mazy gloom of stalled budgets and frayed nerves, what challenges the future holds.
A significant proportion of Australia's cultural sector is made up of 150-plus performing arts centres in our cities and regions. Though a national figure is hard to obtain, an estimate can be derived through the Victorian Association of Performing Arts Centres, Circuit West, Stage Queensland and Create NSW websites.
It is performing arts centres - more than the museums and galleries, where social distancing measures can be readily enforced - that will be hardest hit by COVID-19: the first to close, the last to reopen.
Examining the fortunes and pressures facing Gold Coast's Home of the Arts (HOTA) helps us understand the challenges for this part of the sector.
There is no such things as a typical performing arts centre. But a median band might include HOTA, established in 1986.
Operating two theatres, two cinemas, an outdoor stage and several function rooms, construction is underway on a A$60.5 million gallery. Total visitor numbers in 2019 were 652,251. The forecast turnover for 2020-21 was $21 million. It is anyone's guess where those figures will land now.
"The last time we programmed anything was March 12th," says Criena Gehrke, HOTA's CEO.
Within days, HOTA was delivering $1000 rapid artists' response grants. Gehrke describes the roller-coaster of the shutdown:
As a subsidiary of the Gold Coast City Council, none of HOTA's 112 full and part-time staff or its 152 casuals were eligible for JobKeeper. As a result, 85% were stood down. Now, the centre comprises Gehrke, her assistant, a skeleton programming and operations team, two finance officers, and a lone ghost light on the theatre stage. Gehrke comments:
Resuming normal programming
HOTA hopes to do some light programming by October, with a return to a full schedule in April 2021. This optimistic scenario is underpinned by advantages both natural and human.
A big plus is the 7.5 hectares of parkland around it, where its outdoor stage is situated. Another is the Gold Coast's sunny weather. The immediate future, Gehrke says, "looks like limited numbers of people having exquisite picnics and listening to gorgeous music".
HOTA's new gallery is due to open in early 2021. The centre has announced it will commission up to 20 Australian artists to create new work for the opening. Strong support from the Gold Coast Council is a major reason it remains on schedule - though it helps to have research biologist Ned Pankhurst as Chair of the board in what Gehrke calls "a Renaissance model" of management.
For HOTA and performing arts centres like it, the pandemic raises deep questions about their role in the community and the value they contribute.
Against the federal government's business-as-usual talk, Gehrke sees the future as more fragile, in large part because the audiences HOTA serves are more fragile. It is not a simple government-is-bad/culture-is-good binary. Rather, there is need for more honesty on both sides. Gehrke is interested in how we can have a different conversation.
For the moment, the conversation between the federal government and the cultural sector continues to be a numbing one. As generous assistance is extended to many parts of the economy, it seems not to apply to the arts.
When the bill finally arrives, in the form of higher taxes, government cuts or both, will it also carry a "but not the arts" rider? For the sake of those at HOTA and 150 other performing arts centres, it bloody well should.
Artists on the Gold Coast haven't stopped creating despite COVID. The Interconnectivity Gold Coast project explores connections between the people, places and nature of the city.
Author: Julian Meyrick - Professor of Creative Arts, Griffith University